What date did Elon Musk suggest for a crewed mission taking place no earlier than, even with the earlier 2026 uncrewed goal?

Answer

2029

Despite the aggressive nature of timelines often discussed, Elon Musk had established a specific lower boundary for human arrival, even when discussing the possibility of an uncrewed flight occurring in 2026. When considering the crewed mission, Musk indicated a temporal restriction: it would take place no earlier than the year 2029. This date served as an early benchmark for human landings, predating later projections that pointed towards the early 2030s based on more measured assessments of technical challenges like orbital refueling and EDL success. Experts often cite 2029 or later as a more realistic window, aligning closely with Musk's earliest stated non-earlier constraint.

What date did Elon Musk suggest for a crewed mission taking place no earlier than, even with the earlier 2026 uncrewed goal?

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